S6/10Geopolitical

How the Iran War Is Rewiring the Oil Market

The US-Israel war with Iran was supposed to blow up energy markets, but that hasn’t happened yet. In this weekly documentary, Bloomberg Originals explains why.

16 Jul 2026, 21:12 UTCSource: Bloomberg MarketsOriginal source

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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация46% model probability

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days