S6/10Social
Gazans flock to World Cup screenings
Tournament provides welcome moments of respite as Palestinians follow progress of Arab teams
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 27% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence:
Horizon: 7–30 days