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S8/10Geopolitical
Drones attack Moscow and oblast: fires reported at warehouses and oil refinery
A large-scale drone attack on Moscow caused fires at the Moscow oil refinery and Sofyino logistics park.
Source: Ukrainska PravdaOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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