S9/10Geopolitical
Iran war live: US launches new attacks; Hegseth says war has cost $37.5bn
New attacks Trump threatens to bomb a suspected Iranian nuclear site called Pickaxe Mountain 'very heavily'.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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