S9/10Geopolitical

Somali Pirates Are Back — But the Coalition That Beat Them Isn’t Coming

Numerous recent pirate attacks, especially the hijacking of three merchant vessels off the Horn of Africa, are a stark reminder that the conditions for resurgence can return quickly.It took years of sustained, coordinated effort by multinational naval coalitions, the shipping industry, and international organizations to get rid of pirates in the Western Indian Ocean and the Gulf of Aden. Since 2016, many observers have viewed Somali piracy as yesterday’s problem. Shipping companies increasingly treated the threat as manageable, and Western navies no longer prioritized it. However, piracy did not disappear, it simply went dormant. Somali piracy is now re-emerging amid The post Somali Pirates Are Back — But the Coalition That Beat Them Isn’t Coming appeared first on War on the Rocks .

08 Jul 2026, 07:30 UTCSource: War on the RocksOriginal source

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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация74% model probability

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days