S6/10Geopolitical
The UK could help end Sudan’s civil war
The British government has leverage and should use it to proscribe a terrorist militia and cut off its supply lines
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 42% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days