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Trump says he trusts Putin, Xi that Russia, China are not supplying weapons to Iran
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said after ASEAN events in the Philippines on July 22 that Moscow wanted the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz to end and was not supplying weapons to Iran.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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