S6/10Geopolitical
After the Iran War, China’s Middle East Strategy Will Prioritize the Gulf
China’s top priority is now keeping the Gulf states, and above all Saudi Arabia and the UAE, from drawing closer to Washington.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 44% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days