S6/10Geopolitical
US strikes Iran bridge on transport corridor connecting it with Russia, China — Fars
The strike targeted a railway bridge in the Akkala area of Golestan province near the Turkmen border
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 46% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days