S6/10Social
Russia has sufficient potential to continue special military operation — Kremlin
Russia is ready for a peaceful resolution but has enough capability to act independently, Dmitry Peskov stressed
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 27% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days