S6/10Geopolitical
Iran , U . S . Escalate Military Strikes Amid Tensions
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 43% model probability
Сценарии escalation, status quo и de-escalation
Horizon: 7–30 days