S9/10Geopolitical
Russia attacks Ukraine with ballistic missile, air-launched missiles and 168 drones, hitting nine locations
Russia launched a ballistic missile, five Kh-59/69 air-to-surface missiles and 168 drones overnight. Ukrainian air defences downed 156 aerial assets, but strikes were recorded at nine locations.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
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Horizon: 7–30 days
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