S7/10Social
China unlikely to secure leadership in Arctic without Russia — expert
China has no territory above the Arctic Circle, Irina Strelnikova, director of the Center for Interdisciplinary Arctic Research at HSE University, said
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 39% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days