S6/10Social
Russia to propose to Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan to update defense cooperation agreements
Issues of military technical cooperation were on the agenda of the Russian leader’s visits to Kazakhstan this May and to Uzbekistan in May 2024
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 27% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days