S8/10Geopolitical
Sudanese minister says war has ‘profoundly reshaped’ nation’s demographics
Sudan faces a population shift as conflict empties areas, burdens cities, and disrupts economic and social stability.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 60% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days