S9/10Geopolitical
US renews strikes on Iran as Trump threatens to attack underground nuclear site
The US president's threat to target a key Iranian nuclear site came ahead of the 11th consecutive night of attacks.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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