S8/10Military
Analyzing the Human Toll of Myanmar’s Civil War
Su Mon Thant from ACLED talks about the military's mounting atrocities, and the Arakan Army's recent abuses against the Rohingya.
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 64% model probability
Сценарии "Analyzing the Human Toll of Myanmar's Civil War"
Horizon: 7–30 days