S8/10Geopolitical
Trump Says US to Cancel Iran Attack Subject to a Rapid Deal
US President Donald Trump said the US will hold off new strikes on Iran after it was asked to by the Islamic Republic and other Middle Eastern nations because “perimeters of a deal has been agreed to.”
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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