S6/10Geopolitical
US hits multiple targets in Iran as IRGC pledges retaliation: What we know
Jordan said it intercepted missiles shortly after the US struck Iranian sites including Qeshm and Bushehr.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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