S9/10Military
US strikes Iran for ninth consecutive day as more ships targeted in Strait of Hormuz
The United States carried out a new wave of strikes in Iran on Monday as US deaths in the renewed fighting climbed to three and more ships came under attack in the strategic Strait of Hormuz. Iran responded by targeting US military assets in Bahrain, the home of the US Navy's 5th Fleet, and Kuwait.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 80% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days