S9/10Geopolitical
Russian missile and drone strikes kill 24 in Kyiv ahead of NATO summit
Russia launched a deadly barrage of missiles and drones on Kyiv on Monday, killing at least 24 people and wounding more than 100 in its second major strike on the capital in a week. The attack came on the eve of a NATO summit, where President Volodymyr Zelensky is expected to press allies for stronger air defence support.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 79% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days