S8/10Geopolitical
Nato backs Ukraine’s push to hit Russia harder, says Finnish president
Alexander Stubb tells FT that long-range drone strikes have changed US views on the war and put Kyiv in ‘best’ position since 2022
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 67% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence
Horizon: 7–30 days