S6/10Geopolitical
Gazprom refinery ablaze in Russia's Bashkortostan after drone attack
Explosions and a fire have been reported after a drone attack on the Gazprom Neftekhim Salavat oil refinery in Russia's Republic of Bashkortostan.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
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Horizon: 7–30 days
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