S6/10Social
Czech president says West has two-month 'window' to restart Russia talks — The Telegraph
Petr Pavel also called for further militarizing Europe
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 26% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence
Horizon: 7–30 days