S6/10Social
Israel shared intelligence on alleged Iranian plot to assassinate Trump with US — WSJ
According to the newspaper, the intelligence could prompt the United States to take a tougher stance and further escalate the conflict with Iran
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 31% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days