S8/10Geopolitical
‘There is no safe place’: Israeli attack kills family of six in Gaza
Israeli forces launch regular attacks on Gaza despite a US-backed 'ceasefire' agreed in October.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 59% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days