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S9/10Geopolitical

Attacks, Deals, and Discontent

Welcome to The Adversarial. Every other week, we’ll provide you with expert analysis on America’s greatest challengers: China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, and jihadists.

Read more below. ***IranOver the last two weeks, President Donald Trump repeatedly threatened major attacks on Iran. S.

Going into the weekend, multiple news outlets reported that he was mulling a major bombing campaign — which would almost certainly result in retaliatory strikes against U. bases and allies around the region.

But late Saturday night, Trump asserted that a deal was in the works to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, based on which he would hold fire for the The post Attacks, Deals, and Discontent appeared first on War on the Rocks.

Source: War on the RocksOriginal source

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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days

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