S8/10Geopolitical
Iran war live: Tehran slams US before huge funeral for Ali Khamenei
Lebanon's Health Ministry says at least 4,298 people have been killed and 12,196 injured in Israeli attacks since March.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 69% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days