S9/10Geopolitical
Oil Gains, US Stock Futures Drop on New Strikes: Markets Wrap
Oil gained and US equity futures ticked lower after the US said it is striking Iran for the second straight day, an escalation of violence that threatens to choke shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 44% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days