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Senior NATO official does not believe Russia will capture all of Donbas by end of 2027
A senior NATO official does not believe Russia will be able to capture the belt of fortress cities in Donbas by the end of next year.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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