S6/10Social
Mali finds evidence of Ukraine-trained terrorists operating in country
Vice President of the Defense Commission of the country's Transitional Council Fousseinou Ouattara emphasized that all the drones used by the terrorists are of Ukrainian origin
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 30% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days