S8/10Geopolitical

Netanyahu orders military to take control of '70 percent' of Gaza

Netanyahu orders military to take control of '70 percent' of Gaza Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Thursday that he has ordered the Israeli army to increase their control of the occupied Gaza Strip to 70 percent in order to “squeeze Hamas”, in violation of their ceasefire. “We now control 60 percent of the territory on the strip,” from having previously controlled 50 percent, and now “my directive is to move to…70 percent,” the Israeli Prime Minister said in a conference in an occupied West Bank settlement. This comes as medical sources in Gaza announced the death toll from Israeli aggression has risen to 72,819, with over 170,000 injured since the start of Israel’s genocidal onslaught on the region.

28 May 2026, 14:43 UTCSource: Middle East Eye

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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation72% model probability

Confirmation indicators

  • Significant increase in Israeli airstrikes on Gaza within 24 hours (e.g., targeting specific Hamas locations).
  • Hamas launches a large
  • scale retaliatory attack, including rocket barrages and possibly ground incursions.
Horizon: 10–30 days
B
Status quo21% model probability

Confirmation indicators

  • Significant increase in Israeli airstrikes on Gaza within 24 hours (e.g., targeting specific Hamas locations).
  • Hamas launches a large
  • scale retaliatory attack, including rocket barrages and possibly ground incursions.
Horizon: 10–30 days
C
De-escalation8% model probability

Confirmation indicators

  • Significant increase in Israeli airstrikes on Gaza within 24 hours (e.g., targeting specific Hamas locations).
  • Hamas launches a large
  • scale retaliatory attack, including rocket barrages and possibly ground incursions.
Horizon: 10–30 days