S6/10Geopolitical
US bombs Iran for ninth consecutive night as Hormuz tensions escalate
Iranian media report blasts in cities in the far north and far south, including Tabriz and Chabahar.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 42% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days