S5/10Economic

Bank of Russia does not expect negative GDP figures for Q2 due to fuel situation

An updated medium-term macroeconomic forecast will be released at the meeting of the regulator’s Board of Directors on July 24

03 Jul 2026, 10:17 UTCSource: TASS EnglishOriginal source

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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация17% model probability

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days