S8/10Geopolitical
US will lift sanctions on Turkey, possibly sell F-35 fighter jets, Trump says
The sanctions were imposed in 2020 over the country's purchase of Russian defense missiles.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 64% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days