S6/10Geopolitical
Russia launches over 1,000 attacks on Zaporizhzhia Oblast: one killed
Russian forces carried out 1,038 attacks on 49 settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day, killing one person, injuring 12 and damaging civilian infrastructure.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 42% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days