S8/10Geopolitical
Iranians struggle as ongoing economic crisis shows no sign of abatting
Across Iran, families are grappling with soaring living costs, as the combined weight of war, subsidy reforms and sanctions pushes basic necessities beyond the reach of many. Some Iranians had hoped foreign intervention would unseat the regime - instead, the US-Israel war has crushed livelihoods.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 64% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days