S8/10Geopolitical
'We're gonna hit 'em hard tonight,' Trump says about further air strikes on Iran
Trump had said that the ceasefire with Iran is "over" after Washington launched strikes on the country overnight, to which Iran responded by targeting US bases in the Gulf.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 56% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days