S8/10Geopolitical
US strikes in Iran target air defenses, missile depots, drone launch sites — Axios
According to the report, US forces carried out strikes on targets in Iran near the Strait of Hormuz
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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