S6/10Geopolitical
Oil refinery fire, evacuations in Taganrog, 376 UAVs target Russia: new attacks
A fire broke out at the Ilsky oil refinery in the Seversky district of the Krasnodar Region after UAV debris fell on the site
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 42% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days