S6/10Geopolitical
At least five dead, 41 missing after ferry catches fire off Indonesia
The ship was carrying 271 passengers and crew members when the blaze broke out as it sailed eastwards from Java.
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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