S6/10Geopolitical
Le guide suprême Khamenei inhumé sur fond de frappes entre les Etats - Unis et lIran - 10 / 07 / 2026 à 01 : 26
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 35% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days