S6/10Geopolitical
Americas
Promo Image: Police officers stand guard outside the Mexico City Stadium during a protest on June 11, 2026, in Mexico City, Mexico. (Photo by Lucia Flores/Getty Images)
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 35% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days