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Economic · Economic

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Broadening inflation, Fed prompts traders to ramp up October India rate hike bets

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Traders are increasingly anticipating an October interest rate hike from the Reserve Bank of India, influenced by rising oil prices and expanding inflation. This potential adjustment is further compounded by an expected hike from the Federal Reserve, prompting analysts at Citi and Deutsche Bank to revise their predictions. The shift highlights growing concerns regarding inflation and the dynamics of economic growth.

Economic · Economic

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US 10-year Treasury bonds hit 19-year high ahead of Fed rate decision

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Treasury yields climbed significantly on Tuesday, reaching their highest levels since 2007. Rising oil prices and global inflation pressures are fueling these market movements. Investors anticipate the Federal Reserve will soon implement its first interest rate increase. This potential hike aims to address persistent inflation concerns across the economy. Bond markets worldwide are experiencing similar upward trends in yields.

Economic · Economic

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How Canada’s Trump headache is fuelling a China trade boom

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Canada’s exports to China jumped by 30.1 per cent in the first half of 2026, led by crude oil, copper and other energy and mineral products, as Ottawa stepped up efforts to diversify trade ties amid growing tensions with its largest trading partner, the United States. Exports to China reached C$21.74 billion (US$15.63 billion) over the period, marking the highest first-half value since 1997, according to a trade report released by the Canada China Business Council and the China Institute at the...

Economic · Economic

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Dollar near two-week high as oil surge lifts yields, Fed hike bets

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Strengthening towards a two-week high, the dollar gained ground as oil prices jumped and Treasury yields rose. With a significant rate hike from the Federal Reserve looming this week, market sentiment turned cautious. Stock markets experienced declines, dampening risk appetite and bolstering the dollar’s ascent. The surge in oil prices was driven by conflict in Saudi Arabia and delays in Gulf-Iran discussions.

Economic · Economic

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Oil prices rise as Saudi pipeline outage, fresh attacks raise supply concerns

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Oil prices increased as attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure persisted. The kingdom's East-West pipeline remains offline, impacting global oil supply. Houthi forces launched fresh attacks, fueling fears of wider Middle East conflict. Commodity vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has also dropped significantly. Saudi Arabia could exhaust export oil if the pipeline outage continues.

Economic · Economic

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US 10-year yields reach 5%, highest since October 2023

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The rise of U. S. Treasury yields over five percent indicates expectations for a longer period of elevated interest rates. This trend comes amid increasing oil prices and inflation worries, compounded by significant debt issuance and fiscal issues. As a result, higher borrowing costs are set to impact mortgages, personal loans, and corporate financing practices across the board.

Economic · Economic

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SBI Research, IDFC First expect rate hike in October as crude prices climb: Higher oil prices & inflation raise likelihood of policy tightening

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Economists are gearing up for a potential rate hike from the central bank as soon as October, driven by escalating crude oil prices and ongoing food inflation concerns. The CEO of Axis Bank has raised alarms about the increasing risks of inflation. This shift in monetary policy timing comes as the Monetary Policy Committee prepares to evaluate interest rates in early October, reversing earlier predictions of stability.

Economic · Economic

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Europe must build own AI or risk getting cut off by US or China, says ECB’s Lagarde

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Central bank chief says continent’s AI dependency could give trade partners unprecedented leverage in negotiations Europe must develop its own AI technology and build more datacentres in order to nullify the threat of being cut off by the US or China, according to the president of the European Central Bank. Christine Lagarde said the continent needed AI models – the technology that powers AI tools such as chatbots – that were “good enough” to carry out most tasks and run from domestic datacentres. If Europe invests in its own AI tech, said Lagarde, “the threat of being cut off loses its force”. Continue reading...

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