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The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance | Odd Lots

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We talk about the commodity supply chain all the time. We talk about the ports and the trucks and the ships and all of that. But there's another dimension to moving commodities all around the world, which is actually paying for it. Who funds the oil tanker and what happens when that tanker is, say, stuck in the Strait of Hormuz? Commodity finance underpins production, transportation and storage of a wide variety of the things that make the modern world, but you tend to only hear about it when things go wrong. Today we speak with Lewis Hart, head of corporate advisory and banking at Brown Brothers Harriman. We discuss how the business of commodity finance actually works, how risk is priced, what makes for a good or bad warehouse, and the difference between financing a commodity you can hedge (like oil) versus one where there's no futures market (like cashews). (Source: Bloomberg)

scenario pendingabout 2 months ago
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Odd Lots: The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance (Podcast)

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We talk about the commodity supply chain all the time. We talk about the ports and the trucks and the ships and all of that. But there’s another dimension to moving commodities all around the world, which is actually paying for it. Who funds the oil tanker and what happens when that tanker is, say, stuck in the Strait of Hormuz? Commodity finance underpins production, transportation and storage of a wide variety of the things that make the modern world, but you tend to only hear about it when th

scenario pendingabout 2 months ago
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Markets in limbo as US–Iran uncertainty clouds global outlook: Geoff Dennis

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Global markets are grappling with US-Iran standoff uncertainty, with conflicting signals leaving investors hesitant. Despite geopolitical tensions, oil prices remain below extreme forecasts, cushioning global markets. Near-term caution is advised due to stretched valuations and inflation concerns, though India's underperformance is linked to weak foreign inflows.

scenario pendingabout 2 months ago
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Explained: Why Gokaldas Exports, KPR Mill and other textile stocks soared up to 8% on Monday

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Textile stocks such as Gokaldas Exports, KPR Mill, Vardhman Textiles and Trident rallied up to 8% after the government exempted cotton imports from customs duty for five months, effective June 1. The move, valid until October 30, is expected to improve raw material availability and lower input costs for textile and apparel manufacturers, particularly small and medium enterprises.

scenario pendingabout 2 months ago
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Powell uses JFK award speech to defend Fed from political pressure

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Former US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell used one of his first major public appearances since leaving office to defend independent institutions while accepting an award Sunday honouring his efforts to preserve the central bank’s independence. Speaking at the John F. Kennedy Presidential Library, Powell called universities, courts, Congress and the central bank “the foundation and the embodiment of our democracy” and argued that the Fed’s independence was a “priceless asset” that must be...

scenario pendingabout 2 months ago
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Buy financials, healthcare, and manufactured exports; Pramod Gubbi on investing in a tricky market

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India's Q4 earnings show recovery signs, with Nifty 100 profits up 13%. However, macro headwinds like rising crude oil prices and a depreciating rupee pose risks. Marcellus Investment Managers identifies three key themes for investors: private sector financials, healthcare, and manufactured exports, highlighting their compelling valuations and structural growth prospects amidst a challenging market.

scenario pendingabout 2 months ago
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Corporate India posts 25% profit surge in Q4 FY26, but rising costs squeeze margins

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Corporate India's March quarter net profit surged 25.3%, driven by non-operating factors, masking operating challenges like rising input costs that squeezed margins. While FY27 outlook is positive with infrastructure focus, risks include commodity inflation and geopolitical issues. Sector-specific performance is expected, with metals and energy poised for growth.

scenario pendingabout 2 months ago
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India-Oman CEPA kicks in June 1: What gets cheaper, which sectors gain, and key benefits explained

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India's Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement with Oman comes into effect on June 1, granting New Delhi 100% duty-free access for 98.08% of tariff lines, covering 99.38% of export value. This pact significantly boosts Indian exports across various sectors and enhances mobility for professionals, while also making certain Omani products cheaper for Indian consumers.

scenario pendingabout 2 months ago
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Localisation lens on 500 most-imported items: DPIIT analysing data; move aims to reduce country’s import bill

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The Indian government is scrutinizing over 500 imported products, including machinery, fertilizers, and electronics, to identify opportunities for domestic manufacturing and reduce reliance on foreign supply chains. This initiative aims to curb the country's import bill and bolster supply resilience, with a focus on sectors like electronics and chemicals where import dependence is high but export potential is also significant.

scenario pendingabout 2 months ago
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Market Trading Guide: YES Bank among two stock picks for Monday with up to 10% upside scope

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Equity markets saw broad-based selling pressure after weak monsoon forecasts raised concerns over food inflation, though falling crude oil prices and easing bond yields helped limit downside risks. Investors now await key domestic triggers, including the RBI policy decision and GDP data, while analysts have flagged YES Bank and NBCC as stocks with strong short-term bullish momentum and upside potential.

scenario pendingabout 2 months ago
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China and Japan aren’t talking. Will their rare earth trade go quiet?

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When China broke out one of its “big guns” in last year’s trade war with the US – an array of export controls on rare earth elements – it helped spur a temporary truce in the pitched conflict between the two economic superpowers. After Beijing’s announcement, many around the world expressed shock at the size and scope of China’s response to Washington’s sky-high tariffs. But for Japan, a squeeze on rare earth shipments was not so novel a concept. In 2010, following the collision of a Chinese...

scenario pendingabout 2 months ago
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How Charlie Munger’s behavioral lessons apply to today’s market reality

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Global markets face AI optimism and inflation anxiety. Charlie Munger's insights on human misjudgment offer a survival guide. Higher interest rates, concentrated mega-cap liquidity, and retail participation drive current trends. Investors must manage emotional distortions like envy and FOMO. The Lollapalooza effect amplifies biases. Overconfidence from past gains is risky. Avoiding pain too aggressively can lead to underperformance.

scenario pendingabout 2 months ago
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Oil prices tumble 11% for biggest weekly drop in 7 weeks. Where is liquid gold headed from here?

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Global markets rallied as oil prices hit seven-week lows. Hopes for a peace deal between the US, Israel, and Iran eased inflation fears. Brent crude and WTI saw sharp declines. Diplomatic efforts continue, but differing descriptions of a potential deal persist. Geopolitical tensions remain a factor. Analysts suggest restoring normal shipping could take months.

scenario pendingabout 2 months ago
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Wall Street Week Ahead: Jobs report on tap for soaring US stocks as rate path, bond yields eyed as risks

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Indian markets are watching US economic indicators next week. Investors are concerned about rising inflation and potential interest rate hikes. The upcoming jobs report and Broadcom's earnings will be crucial. These events could impact the ongoing rally in US stocks. Market participants are closely monitoring these developments for future investment decisions.

scenario pendingabout 2 months ago
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Chasing billions: Indonesia’s commodity export crackdown sows confusion

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Indonesia lost nearly US$1 trillion in resource wealth over a 34-year period due to deceptive trade practices, President Prabowo Subianto declared in parliament on May 20. That same day, a set of new export controls was unveiled. Foreign-exchange earnings would be locked in Indonesian banks for a prescribed time limit and producers of coal, palm oil and ferroalloys would be required to route sales through a new state-owned enterprise. But barely had the ink dried on the new rules when talk of...

scenario pendingabout 2 months ago
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