Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Concerns raised as Hong Kong stops compiling voter turnout data by age and sex

Hong Kong election authorities have stopped compiling voter turnout data by age and sex, citing a lack of operational need, in a move that has raised concerns about undermining the transparency of polls. Analysts and politicians said such statistics were valuable for election hopefuls in understanding voter demographics and formulating policy suggestions, while authorities could use the data to improve governance. The South China Morning Post asked the Registration and Electoral Office last...

June 21, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

‘Only death can stop me’: terminally ill Chinese tycoon works 12 hours daily to cure ALS

A former Chinese e-commerce executive in the final stages of a rare disease is still working 12-hour days, devoting what time he has left to accelerating the search for a cure. Cai Lei, 48, a former vice-president of JD.com, one of China’s largest e-commerce companies, has spent seven years battling amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), an incurable disease that progressively attacks motor neurons. His condition has recently deteriorated to an advanced stage. Unable to move or speak, Cai can now...

June 21, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

England offer rare peek behind the curtain with no place to hide under Tuchel

There was more insight at the World Cup training base than usual with intensity on the rise under Thomas Tuchel The tall hooded figure kept barking instructions under a hot Missouri sun. Thomas Tuchel was looking for perfection as preparations for Ghana geared up. England’s head coach watched from a distance at first but it was not long before he was making sure the training drill was up his standards. Tuchel, wearing a hoodie to protect himself from the UV rays, loomed over a group made up of Elliot Anderson, Jude Bellingham, Anthony Gordon, Marcus Rashford, Djed Spence and Ollie Watkins. This was a rare peek behind the curtain. At international tournaments there are days when journalists are allowed to watch 15 minutes of open training. They are often anodyne experiences, limited to a bit of jogging around, maybe a glimpse of a rondo if you’re lucky, but there was more insight at England’s base in Kansas City on Saturday morning. Mannequins were carefully arranged in four zones and it soon became clear there is no hiding place when Tuchel is watching. Continue reading...

June 21, 2026

Naturalseverity 6

Thermal anomaly detected: Unknown (FRP: 653 MW, Brightness: 367K)

June 21, 2026

Naturalseverity 6

Thermal anomaly detected: Unknown (FRP: 528 MW, Brightness: 355K)

June 21, 2026

Naturalseverity 6

Thermal anomaly detected: Unknown (FRP: 991 MW, Brightness: 367K)

June 21, 2026

Naturalseverity 6

Thermal anomaly detected: Unknown (FRP: 588 MW, Brightness: 367K)

June 21, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 7

France bans alcohol consumption at music festival events under red heatwave alert

The annual Fête de la Musique celebrations draw millions to the streets but the most serious heatwave warnings have been issued for 35 of the country's departments.

June 21, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

From factory floor to World Cup star - Germany's super-sub Undav

It was not long ago that his manager Julian Nagelsmann called him out openly - but Deniz Undav is proving himself a key player for Germany at the World Cup.

June 21, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Iran and Pakistan reaffirm support for diplomatic process

Iran and Pakistan reaffirm support for diplomatic process Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and Pakistan's interior minister Mohsin Naqvi have discussed ongoing diplomatic efforts, the recent ceasefire process and ways to strengthen relations between their countries. According to a statement carried by Iranian state media, the meeting took place in Tehran and focused on regional developments and cooperation between Iran and Pakistan. The statement said Pezeshkian "emphasised Pakistan's constructive and effective role in supporting the path of diplomacy and helping to consolidate the results of the negotiations". Naqvi, in turn, expressed appreciation for "the diplomatic efforts and measures" undertaken by the Iranian leadership and praised what he described as its role in managing political and diplomatic processes. The statement also said Naqvi commended the guidance of Ayatollah Seyyed Mojtaba Khamenei and his "strategic and intelligent role in supporting diplomatic processes and helping to end the crisis and establish a ceasefire".

June 21, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Pakistan PM and army chief to participate in Switzerland negotiations

Pakistan PM and army chief to participate in Switzerland negotiations Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir are travelling to Switzerland to participate in technical-level talks linked to the implementation of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran. According to a statement issued by the Prime Minister's Office, the discussions are scheduled to take place in Burgenstock on 21 June. "As a follow-up to the signing of Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, technical-level talks will be held in Burgenstock, Switzerland, on 21 June," the statement said. It added that Sharif and Munir would take part in the meetings alongside a high-level Pakistani delegation. The talks are expected to focus on the implementation of commitments contained in the agreement and the next steps in the diplomatic process.

June 21, 2026

Naturalseverity 7

How Singapore’s most notorious mall found God

Orchard Towers, a building in Singapore once notorious enough to earn the nickname “Four Floors of Whores”, has found an unlikely new tenant. On weekends, the site of former nightclubs, illegal massage parlours and at least one murder is now flooded with church-goers. Cornerstone Community Church officially opened weekly services at the Orchard Road landmark in January after buying six units on the fourth floor – formerly a nightclub – for S$54.5 million (US$42.3 million) in 2025. Experts say...

June 21, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

A Stock Trader’s Guide to Navigating a Rare ‘Super El Niño’

As concerns over the Iran war recede, stock investors are confronting another threat: climate risk, which is prompting a reassessment of bets across sectors from agriculture to insurance.

June 21, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Iran war live: Vance heads to Switzerland; Israel kills 16 in Lebanon

Talks come as Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz over Israel's deadly attacks on Lebanon.

June 21, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

Former Saudi intelligence chief urges stronger GCC unity

Former Saudi intelligence chief urges stronger GCC unity Prince Turki al-Faisal, Saudi Arabia's former intelligence chief and ambassador, has called on Gulf states to establish a joint defence network capable of responding collectively to threats against member countries. Writing in Asharq Al-Awsat on Saturday, he said the Gulf Cooperation Council had faced repeated challenges and should "stand together like a solid, fortified structure" to strengthen regional security. Turki also called on Iran to abandon what he characterised as ambitions for regional dominance and to end support for groups including Hezbollah and the Houthis. At the same time, he urged Israel to halt what he described as its "bloody brutality" and the seizure of Arab lands. He further argued that Western countries should stop providing what he called diplomatic and military backing that shields Israel from accountability.

June 20, 2026

Militaryseverity 9

Russians intensify guided bomb strikes on outskirts of Sumy

Sumy Oblast Military Administration has reported an increase in guided aerial bomb strikes on the outskirts of Sumy. Overall, 10 civilians were injured in Russian attacks over the past day.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 7

Iranian speaker says martyrs guide mission to Switzerland

Iranian speaker says martyrs guide mission to Switzerland Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf arrived in Zurich on Saturday for talks aimed at advancing implementation of the memorandum of understanding signed between Tehran and Washington. In a post on X, Qalibaf said he remained committed to those killed during the recent conflict and described them as a guiding force for the delegation's work. "I regard the innocent children of Minab and all the martyrs of our beloved Iran as constant witnesses to my actions and conduct," Qalibaf wrote. "They see us and have expectations of us." The delegation, which also includes foreign minister Abbas Araghchi, is expected to discuss how obligations contained in the agreement will be carried out. Ahead of the visit, foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei stressed that the trip should not be viewed as the start of a new round of negotiations, saying: "This trip is essentially aimed at demanding the fulfilment of the other party's commitments. Any understanding or agreement is ultimately tested during the implementation phase."

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Fastest World Cup to 100 goals in 68 years - are balls and breaks behind it?

The 2026 World Cup becomes the fastest edition of the tournament to hit 100 goals since 1958 - with the landmark reached in the 33rd game. But what is behind the scoring spree?

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

US refuses to ease Iran World Cup travel restrictions for Belgium match

Andrew Giuliani says Iran's players will not be allowed to stay longer for their group matches in the US.

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

US and Iranian teams prepare for detailed negotiations in Switzerland

US and Iranian teams prepare for detailed negotiations in Switzerland Iranian media have published images showing the country's delegation travelling to Switzerland for technical-level negotiations with the United States, marking the next stage in efforts to implement and expand the recently signed memorandum of understanding between the two countries. Ahead of the talks, US Vice President JD Vance said significant work remained to be done. followup He told reporters that Washington's priorities include addressing Iran's nuclear programme and strengthening the ceasefire in Lebanon amid concerns that renewed regional tensions could undermine the broader agreement. Other issues expected to be discussed include longstanding US sanctions on Iran and proposals aimed at supporting the reconstruction and development of Iran's economy as negotiations continue. Iran's delegation, named "Minab 168", led by Iranian Parliament Speaker and Chief Negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, has just arrived in Zurich, Switzerland. Follow Press TV on Telegram: https://t.co/h0eMpifVIe pic.twitter.com/VHOMLokGXG — PressTV Extra (@PresstvExtra) June 20, 2026

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Trump says only US could impose Hormuz transit charges

Trump says only US could impose Hormuz transit charges US President Donald Trump said there would be no tolls for vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz during the 60-day ceasefire period established under the memorandum of understanding with Iran. In a post on Truth Social on Saturday, Trump wrote: "There will be NO TOLLS in the Hormuz Strait for 60 days during the Cease Fire Period, and there will be NO TOLLS after the 60 day period has expired, unless they are imposed by and for the United States of America." Under the terms of the memorandum, the Strait of Hormuz is expected to reopen for an interim 60-day period after being closed during the conflict that began on 28 February. During that period, Iran is reportedly prohibited from charging vessels for passage through the strategic waterway.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Doku criticised over plan to return home for birth

Winger Jeremy Doku is criticised for saying he wants to leave Belgium's World Cup camp to be with his wife when she gives birth to their first child.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Colombia's escalating, brutal internal conflict is defining its presidential election

A left-wing senator who backs talks with armed gangs faces an outsider endorsed by Trump.

June 20, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

Israeli strike kills journalist in central Gaza

Israeli strike kills journalist in central Gaza An Israeli strike targeting a residential home in the Al-Bureij refugee camp in central Gaza killed Palestinian Al Jazeera Mubasher journalist and cameraman Ahmed Samir Wishah on Saturday. Al Jazeera said in a statement that it “strongly condemns the heinous crime of targeting and killing” of the correspondent. “This constitutes a new and flagrant violation of all international laws and norms, and reflects a continued systematic policy of targeting journalists and silencing the voice of truth,” the network said in a statement. The Israeli military confirmed carrying out the strike that killed the journalist, claiming he was a "Hamas terrorist", without providing any evidence. Read more: Israeli strike kills journalist in central Gaza Mohammed Samir Wishah during an assignment. (X / tamerqdh)

June 20, 2026

12 / 497