Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

Militaryseverity 9

Live: US and Saudi Arabia launch strikes on Iraq, target Iran allies

US and Saudi warplanes carried out strikes on Tuesday against Iran-backed militants in Iraq who launched more than two dozen drone attacks in recent days, the US military said. Meanwhile, Iran's Revolutionary Guards said they struck and halted three oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz early Wednesday. Follow our live blog for the latest developments.

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Sudan civil war: Civilians used as 'human shields'

The situation in the besieged city of El Obeid in Sudan is worsening by the day, with rights organizations warning of mass atrocities. Children are traumatized and do not dare go to school.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Can Pakistan-administered Kashmir elections calm tensions?

Pakistan-administered Kashmir heads to the polls after weeks of deadly protests over seats reserved for displaced people from India-administered Kashmir. One local group has called for the election to be boycotted.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Berlin Pride: Latest in string of deadly vehicle attacks

The attack at a Berlin Pride event is only the most recent incident on a long list where vehicles were used as weapons. The US, Canada, and China also saw similar attacks in recent years.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Berlin Pride attack: What we know so far

On Saturday, a vehicle drove into a crowd near a Christopher Street Day celebration in what is being regarded as an attack on the LGBTQ+ community. The main suspect has since been confronted and shot dead.

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

How India's Gen-Z protesters shifted the political debate

The resignation of India's education minister amounts to a stunning victory for the youth-led "Cockroach" protest movement. The bigger question is if this political momentum turns into a lasting platform for more reform.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Indian youth score a win over Modi with humor and grit

Driven by social media satire, the Gen-Z-led "Cockroach" protest movement spurned by grievances over an exam scandal caused a shake-up in India's government. DW spoke with a few protesters in New Delhi.

August 6, 2026

Militaryseverity 6

Chad's government says it's withdrawing from the ICC

Chad's Foreign Ministry has announced plans to leave the International Criminal Court. It said that its effectiveness was "limited and uneven." Chad's leader is a military officer accused of repressing the opposition.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Will Pakistan intervene amid Houthi attacks on Saudi ships?

Pakistan and Saudi Arabia are strategic defense partners, but experts say there are limits to how far Islamabad can go in opposing Iran-backed Houthis.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Could US airstrikes stop insurgency in Mali?

US President Donald Trump is considering airstrikes against the Al-Qaeda-linked JNIM in Mali, according to multiple reports. Analysts say such attacks might weaken the jihadists but would not address the core issues.

August 6, 2026

Naturalseverity 7

EU civil protection mechanism: coordinating Europe's firefighters

French President Emmanuel Macron has activated the EU civil protection mechanism to help combat devastating wildfires. The system has become increasingly effective, yet it will reach its limits in the summer of 2026.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

What we know about Ukrainian drone attack on bus in Russia’s Belgorod Region

The acting governor reported that 15 people sustained shrapnel wounds, with three more suffering blast-induced injuries

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

India explores purchases of LNG from Russia's Arctic region — Rudenko

The Russian deputy foreign minister added that cooperation in the logistics sector also holds strong potential

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Eight civilians injured in Ukrainian drone attack on enterprise in Belgorod Region

Seven men suffered shrapnel wounds, while a woman sustained blast-related trauma

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Asia-Pacific militarization by West threatens regional security — MFA

According to Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Andrey Rudenko, this militaristic approach "directly contradicts the traditional model of pragmatic, constructive engagement"

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

NATO fuel networks near Russian borders vulnerable to precision strikes, expert says

According to Rozhin, the foundation of the system is the Central Europe Pipeline System network which spans approximately 5,300 kilometers, with pipeline diameters ranging from 6 to 12 inches

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Press review: Logic behind Kiev attacks outside Russia and EU fights for sanctions life

Top stories from the Russian press on Tuesday, July 28th

August 6, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

Kiev's omnipresent terrorism means special military operation must succeed — Kremlin

Dmitry Peskov said that Kiev had already carried out attacks on Germany, blowing up Nord Stream, and on Kazakhstan and its infrastructure of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium, as well as on an Iranian ship

August 6, 2026

Militaryseverity 9

Iran's missile forces remain effective after five months of US strikes — FT

Former Iran-focused military analyst with the CIA Jim Lamson stressed that the recent strikes on US bases in Jordan had demonstrated Iran's ability to penetrate US and Arab missile defenses

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

South African delegation arrives in Moscow to discuss military cooperation

The meeting began with the laying of wreaths at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier in the Alexander Garden

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Banderol missile strike indicates emergence of new precision missile carrier — expert

According to Alexander Stepanov, the missile's speed of about 650 km/h puts its capabilities on par with the turbojet version of the Geran-4 Seeker drone

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

US general warns Trump American munitions stockpile for Iran war running low — AP

The US president earlier refuted reports that Washington had paused the full-scale war against Iran due to a shortage of munitions, including missile interceptors

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Zidane takes over as France coach

The contract is valid until the 2030 World Cup finals

August 6, 2026

Naturalseverity 7

Magnitude 7.1 earthquake hits Japan, more than 50 people reported injured

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said the earthquake caused fires and power outages, damaged roads and bridges, destroyed buildings

August 6, 2026

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