Catalogue
Scenario archive
Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.
Moscow court orders Rheinmetall to pay 47 mln euros in military prosecutor's lawsuit
The hearing was held behind closed doors
August 2, 2026
Zelenskyy: I has offered Fedorov several positions, the latest being deputy prime minister for military innovation
President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has offered former defence minister Mykhailo Fedorov the post of deputy prime minister for military innovation.
August 2, 2026
Situation at Zaporozhye plant under control despite attacks on host city — spokesperson
The ZNPP continues to receive electricity through a single high-voltage power line, Yevgenia Yashina added
August 2, 2026
Richards hopeful of completing medal set in Glasgow
Double Olympic champion Matt Richards is hoping to claim Commonwealth gold and complete his major medal collection.
August 2, 2026
How the student 'Cockroach' movement grew its influence across India
Young Indians are keeping up the pressure - continuing their demands for the Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan - to step down. This as their online satirical group the "Cockroach People's Party" grows in stature and support. It won millions of followers on social media and tens of thousands of sign-ups since its launch in May.
August 2, 2026
Japan's foreign minister recounts first contact with Russian counterpart in six years
Toshimitsu Motegi emphasized the importance of managing Japan-Russia relations thoughtfully
August 2, 2026
Trump backtracks on Saudi nuclear deal, demands Israel normalisation
Trump backtracks on Saudi nuclear deal, demands Israel normalisation Submitted by MEE staff on Thu, 07/23/2026 - 13:21 Earlier this week Trump has reportedly approved a 30-year civil nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia Off US President Donald Trump appeared to backtrack on the Saudi nuclear deal on Thursday by making it conditional on Riyadh normalising ties with Israel. “The Civil Nuclear Deal (There will be no enrichment of material!)... pertains only to non-military use such as the ones that Iran and UAE (and others) already have, will be approved, but is totally subject to Saudi Arabia joining the very respected and successful Abraham Accords,” Trump wrote on Truth Social. “The United States is not opposed to Civil (Non-Enriched) Nuclear Facilities,” he added. This is breaking news. We will have more on this shortly. US Politics News Post Date Override 0 Update Date Mon, 05/04/2020 - 21:19 Update Date Override 0
August 2, 2026
US to hold Iran responsible for Houthi attacks
US to hold Iran responsible for Houthi attacks The US will inflict "punishment" on Iran over any future Houthi attacks on ships in the Red Sea, President Donald Trump announced. "A year ago the United States of America attacked, very powerfully, the Houthis, for their interference with commerce and trade, by shooting at ships. Since that time, and during our conflict with Iran, they have acted very responsibly. Unfortunately, now they are starting up again, shooting at two Saudi Arabian ships last night," Trump said in a post on Truth Social. "Please let this TRUTH serve to represent that if they do this again, the U.S. will hold Iran responsible, in that the Houthis are a Surrogate and/or Proxy of Iran, and major military punishment will be inflicted upon Iran and, of course, the Houthis, themselves, who I am very disappointed with in that they have, until now, acted very professionally and smart," he added.
August 2, 2026
Laura Loomer meets Zelenskyy after pro-Ukraine conversion
Far-right influencer abandoned opposition to war to praise Kyiv’s resilience against Russian aggression
August 2, 2026
US rhetoric 'all about amping up' but strategy for a deal with Iran unclear
After a twelfth night of US strikes, Iran has hit US bases in Jordan and Kuwait, claiming several military assets were destroyed. This also comes after rebel Houthis in Yemen struck two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea, further expanding the conflict. FRANCE 24's Kethevane Gorjestani tells us more.
August 2, 2026
Trump says US-Saudi 'civil' nuclear deal conditional on joining Abraham Accords
Trump says US-Saudi 'civil' nuclear deal conditional on joining Abraham Accords The American President Donald Trump announced that the US-Saudi "civil" nuclear deal is conditional on the Kingdom joining the Abraham Accords. “The Civil Nuclear Deal (There will be no enrichment of material!) being made between the United States Department of Energy and Saudi Arabia, which pertains only to non-military use such as the ones that Iran and UAE (and others) already have, will be approved, but is totally subject to Saudi Arabia joining the very respected and successful Abraham Accords," Trump said in a post on Truth Social.
August 2, 2026
Iran says it will pursue ‘eye for an eye’ as US attack near Iraq border kills two
Iran says it will pursue ‘eye for an eye’ as US attack near Iraq border kills two Submitted by Rayhan Uddin on Thu, 07/23/2026 - 12:25 Meanwhile, Houthis say they targeted two Saudi Arabian tankers days after joining war US forces launching what they say are precision strikes against Iran on 23 July 2026 (AFP/Centcom handout) Off Iran has said that it will pursue “an eye for an eye” defence doctrine, as the US attacked Iranian territory for a 12th consecutive day and President Donald Trump threatened further bombardment of civilian infrastructure. Iranian state media said on Thursday that a US attack had killed two people at Shalamcheh, on Iran’s border with Iraq . At least 11 others were wounded in the attack. State media reported that two US missiles hit Bushehr, which is home to Iran’s only civilian nuclear plant. US Central Command confirmed a 12th consecutive night of strikes, stating that it aimed to "further degrade Iran's ability to threaten civilian mariners and commercial vessels transiting regional waters". Trump said that each time Iran attacked a vessel in the Strait of Hormuz – the vital waterway through which a fifth of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas passes – the US would bomb Iranian civilian infrastructure. “Any time the Islamic Republic of Iran shoots at a ship in the Strait of Hormuz, whether it be by Missile, Rocket, Drone, or any other device or weapon, the United States will bomb and destroy ONE BRIDGE OR POWER PLANT," Trump wrote on social media. Abbas Araghchi, Iran’s foreign minister, said on X: “Our defense doctrine is clear: eye for an eye. Any aggression against Iran, including our infrastructure, will compel a powerful and decisive response.” He added: “Those who contribute to such aggression, whatever the kind of support, will also be considered as legitimate targets.” Elsewhere in the region, Jordan and Kuwait reported intercepting strikes on Thursday morning, as Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said it was targeting US assets in both countries. "The armed forces' retaliatory attacks will continue as long as the US attacks on the country's infrastructure and coastal areas continue," Iran's army spokesperson Mohammad Akraminia said, as quoted by state television. 'Houthis were smart' The Iranian army announced that a number of US facilities in Kuwait were targeted by "destructive drones". They said this included targeting ammunition and logistics depots at Camp Doha, fuel tanks at the Ali al-Salem base and an ammunition depot at Camp Arifjan. In the Strait of Hormuz, the IRGC said it stopped three oil tankers from transiting on Thursday. Trump to approve nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia despite regional proliferation risks Read More » "The Strait of Hormuz is under our control... and any ship that is deceived by the US and intends to pass without coordination with the Islamic Republic of Iran will suffer the same fate," the IRGC said. Meanwhile, Yemen ’s Houthis claimed to have struck two Saudi Arabian oil tankers, days after joining the conflict and declaring a blockade on Saudi Arabian ports. The Houthis said they conducted missile and drone strikes on two Saudi tankers in the Red Sea overnight, the Encelia and the Layla. UKMTO, the British naval security monitor, said the master of a tanker reported being hit by an unknown projectile about 70 nautical miles southwest of Al Shuqaiq in Saudi Arabia. It said the projectile caused a fire that the crew was fighting. Saudi Arabia confirmed the Encelia had been struck. It did not comment on the other tanker. Marco Rubio, the US secretary of state, said the Houthis had been "suckered" by Tehran into attacking shipping in the Red Sea. “The Houthis largely were smart and stayed out of all this throughout the conflict, but they now apparently have gotten themselves suckered into this, going after Saudi Arabia and their ships," Rubio said. "I hope they will de-escalate, because I think the Houthis, frankly, got snookered into this thing by the Iranians." Oman said on Thursday that it was working to resume talks between the Houthis and Riyadh to de-escalate the situation. War on Iran News Post Date Override 0 Update Date Mon, 05/04/2020 - 21:19 Update Date Override 0
August 2, 2026
How Houthi strikes on oil tankers will impact the Middle East war
Yemen's Houthi rebels say they have attacked two Saudi oil tankers. The Houthis are supported by Iran, and the attacks in the Red Sea could be a new front for the war between the US and Iran. But how will this affect the conflict?
August 2, 2026
Ongoing military threat in host city poses risks to Zaporozhye nuke plant — spokesperson
"No direct attacks on the plant’s infrastructure have been recorded in recent days," Yevgenia Yashina said
August 2, 2026
Johnson-Thompson and Asher-Smith out of Commonwealths
Olympic silver medallist Katarina Johnson-Thompson has pulled out of the Commonwealth Games because of injury.
August 2, 2026
Can Iran withstand new pressure from the US?
After a truce, the US has returned to war with Iran. Alex Gatopoulos looks at what’s different this time
August 2, 2026
'What was their crime?': BBC visits Iran school where strike killed 120 children
Nearly five months on, grief is still raw as a teacher and a mother recall the horror of the attack in Minab.
August 2, 2026
Kremlin says there is no progress in dialogue on ending war in Ukraine
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov has said there is no new progress in the dialogue on ending the war in Ukraine, following a meeting between Russian and US representatives in the Philippines.
August 2, 2026
ECB holds interest rates at 2.25%
Central bank pauses despite renewed surge in oil prices
August 2, 2026
US Stock Futures Drop as Traders Focus on AI Spending, Oil Jumps
US stock futures retreated as worries over artificial-intelligence spending weighed on sentiment while oil prices closed in on $100 a barrel. Traders braced for more key earnings from Intel Corp., due later in the afternoon.
August 2, 2026
‘Unbearably sexy in his rodenty way’: Benedict Cumberbatch’s 20 best films – ranked!
To mark the two-time Oscar nominee’s recent 50th birthday, we rate his finest screen roles – from hyper-British patricians and seething serpents, to ghastly Yanks, tragic codebreakers and sci-fi scoundrels Benedict Cumberbatch does his considerable best opposite the equally prestigious Olivia Colman in this souped-up marital-breakdown dramedy, essentially remade from the 1989 movie with Michael Douglas and Kathleen Turner. This time, though, it’s all about the Britons – indicating the supposed classiness of the affair. But the film is overwrought and unconvincing; it never convinces us that the couple were once passionately in love and now passionately in hate. The below-par script has the effect of bringing out an unrewarding kind of coldness in Cumberbatch, technically assured though he always is. Continue reading...
August 2, 2026
"We are hitting Putin where it hurts most": EU chief diplomat reveals details of new Russia sanctions package
EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas has said that the new sanctions package against Russia will target the country's financial system, energy sector and military industry, while also announcing further restrictions.
August 2, 2026
India's 'Cockroach' movement spreads to Mumbai after violence in New Delhi
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has finally broken his silence on the student protest movement known as the “Cockroach Janta Party”. The protests have spread from the capital New Delhi to other large cities including Mumbai and Bengaluru. Clashes with the police have occurred in several cities as well.
August 2, 2026
Love Island: All Stars winners Molly Smith and Tom Clare marry
The couple won the first series of the spin-off edition of the hit dating show in 2024.
August 2, 2026