Catalogue
Scenario archive
Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.
Indonesia continues military-technical cooperation with Russia, envoy says
Sergey Tolchenov noted that the cooperation is currently being conducted "behind the scenes"
July 31, 2026
Hong Kong’s first-time lawmakers ask fewer questions but attend Legco more often
Hong Kong’s first-time lawmakers have raised fewer questions than their veteran counterparts but recorded a higher attendance rate, a South China Morning Post check has found. Alan Chan Chung-yee, who is also the chief operating officer of Miramar Group, and athlete turned legislator Vivian Kong Man-wai were among those who submitted the fewest questions to the government. Political observers attributed the trend to newcomers seeking to balance respect for the executive-led system with their...
July 31, 2026
Nearly 100 US troops injured in two weeks since Iran war resumed
The Pentagon says most soldiers suffered ‘minor concussions’ and have returned to duty
July 31, 2026
Global Stocks Lift Australian Pension Funds to 9.5% Annual Gain
A rally in global equities delivered another strong year for Australia’s A$4.4 trillion ($3.1 trillion) pension fund industry, despite lingering concerns over the Middle East conflict and stubborn inflation.
July 31, 2026
Iran war live: US launches 10th night of strikes; Tehran attacks Kuwait
Explosions reported in Iran's Bandar Abbas, Qeshm Island, Chabahar and Konarak as US launches new wave of attacks.
July 31, 2026
US attacks Iran for tenth consecutive night
Washington vows revenge for US military casualties and Iran claims attacks on US sites across the region.
July 31, 2026
Trump imposes 50% US tariffs on some Canadian goods, citing discrimination
Tariffs apply to Canadian wine, hockey sticks, cement, and other products, sparking fears of escalating trade tensions.
July 31, 2026
Ukrainian forces strike Belgorod, surrounding area with missiles
According to the regional emergency operations center, no casualties are reported
July 31, 2026
India's private banks draw thinner margins on tepid credit growth
Top private sector banks reported weaker net interest margins (NIMs) in the June quarter as sluggish retail loan demand pushed them towards lower-yielding corporate loans. HDFC Bank's NIM fell to 3.26%, Kotak Mahindra Bank's dropped to a 19-quarter low of 4.53%, while Axis Bank's stood at 3.46%.
July 31, 2026
Rupee hits two-month low despite RBI intervention as crude oil surge weighs
The Indian rupee fell to a two-month low against the dollar on Monday. This decline occurred despite significant interventions by the central bank. Rising crude oil prices are fueling inflation concerns across the economy. The market anticipates continued volatility influenced by oil and dollar strength. The Reserve Bank of India is expected to intervene further to support the rupee.
July 31, 2026
Indian banks mobilise $20.7 billion under RBI's special incentive window
In a remarkable financial boost, India's central bank recorded significant foreign exchange inflows of $20.72 billion, primarily through a swap facility provided by the Reserve Bank of India. Out of this amount, Foreign Currency Non-Resident Deposits accounted for $17.41 billion. Meanwhile, External Commercial Borrowings contributed $1.34 billion, and Overseas Foreign Currency Borrowings brought in an additional $1.97 billion, enhancing the country’s economic standing.
July 31, 2026
MSF demands Israel release detained Palestinian healthcare workers
The NGO is 'outraged' by Israel's treatment of the health professionals and warns that 'silence has become complicity'.
July 31, 2026
JPMorgan Chase boss warns Andy Burnham of ‘consequences’ if he taxes banks
Jamie Dimon says any tax raid by new UK prime minister would threaten bank’s planned £3bn London office
July 31, 2026
Gold Steady as Traders Watch Middle East War for Inflation Clues
Gold was steady as traders monitored a raft of developments in the Middle East conflict for clues on the energy price impact on inflation.
July 31, 2026
2026 World Cup: La Roja celebrates title with victory parade in Madrid
More than one million people took to the streets of Madrid to welcome La Roja after their World Cup triumph. 🇪🇸
July 31, 2026
Russian envoy says Coalition of Willing exercises in Poland will be symbolic show
Andrey Kelin also claimed that he does not think the upcoming military drills will turn into anything large-scale
July 31, 2026
Argentina, minus Messi, return home after World Cup final heartbreak
Thousands wait to greet the team, who return without captain Messi and a few other players after the World Cup.
July 31, 2026
Suspect charged in fatal attack on UK politician Ann Widdecombe
Police say a possible political motive is under investigation in the killing of the Reform UK figure.
July 31, 2026
Tanker hit off the coast of Oman, UK maritime agency says
Tanker hit off the coast of Oman, UK maritime agency says An unknown projectile struck a tanker eight nautical miles north east of Oman's Limah, the UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) agency said. According to the statement, the UKMTO said it "received multiple reports that a tanker... has been struck by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz".
July 31, 2026
Ex-Villa striker Duran joins seventh club aged 22
Former Aston Villa striker Jhon Duran joins Benfica on a season-long loan from Saudi Arabian side Al-Nassr.
July 31, 2026
Judge halts Paramount's $111B purchase of Warner Bros. in win for US states
Judge grants restraining order, saying merger "likely to violate antitrust laws."
July 31, 2026
Firefighting drones in the works as wildfires plague US nearly year-round
California and XPRIZE competition tests whether drones can stop wildfires early.
July 31, 2026
New Zealand Inflation Accelerates to 4.1% on Soaring Fuel Costs
New Zealand’s annual inflation accelerated to the highest level in more than two years in the second quarter, fanned by soaring fuel prices and reinforcing the Reserve Bank’s decision to begin raising interest rates.
July 31, 2026
IRGC says it carried out missile strike on US base in Kuwait
American HIMARS systems were targeted with surface-to-surface missiles
July 31, 2026