Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Pakistan PM and army chief to participate in Switzerland negotiations

Pakistan PM and army chief to participate in Switzerland negotiations Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir are travelling to Switzerland to participate in technical-level talks linked to the implementation of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran. According to a statement issued by the Prime Minister's Office, the discussions are scheduled to take place in Burgenstock on 21 June. "As a follow-up to the signing of Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, technical-level talks will be held in Burgenstock, Switzerland, on 21 June," the statement said. It added that Sharif and Munir would take part in the meetings alongside a high-level Pakistani delegation. The talks are expected to focus on the implementation of commitments contained in the agreement and the next steps in the diplomatic process.

June 21, 2026

Naturalseverity 7

How Singapore’s most notorious mall found God

Orchard Towers, a building in Singapore once notorious enough to earn the nickname “Four Floors of Whores”, has found an unlikely new tenant. On weekends, the site of former nightclubs, illegal massage parlours and at least one murder is now flooded with church-goers. Cornerstone Community Church officially opened weekly services at the Orchard Road landmark in January after buying six units on the fourth floor – formerly a nightclub – for S$54.5 million (US$42.3 million) in 2025. Experts say...

June 21, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

A Stock Trader’s Guide to Navigating a Rare ‘Super El Niño’

As concerns over the Iran war recede, stock investors are confronting another threat: climate risk, which is prompting a reassessment of bets across sectors from agriculture to insurance.

June 21, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Iran war live: Vance heads to Switzerland; Israel kills 16 in Lebanon

Talks come as Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz over Israel's deadly attacks on Lebanon.

June 21, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

Former Saudi intelligence chief urges stronger GCC unity

Former Saudi intelligence chief urges stronger GCC unity Prince Turki al-Faisal, Saudi Arabia's former intelligence chief and ambassador, has called on Gulf states to establish a joint defence network capable of responding collectively to threats against member countries. Writing in Asharq Al-Awsat on Saturday, he said the Gulf Cooperation Council had faced repeated challenges and should "stand together like a solid, fortified structure" to strengthen regional security. Turki also called on Iran to abandon what he characterised as ambitions for regional dominance and to end support for groups including Hezbollah and the Houthis. At the same time, he urged Israel to halt what he described as its "bloody brutality" and the seizure of Arab lands. He further argued that Western countries should stop providing what he called diplomatic and military backing that shields Israel from accountability.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 7

Iranian speaker says martyrs guide mission to Switzerland

Iranian speaker says martyrs guide mission to Switzerland Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf arrived in Zurich on Saturday for talks aimed at advancing implementation of the memorandum of understanding signed between Tehran and Washington. In a post on X, Qalibaf said he remained committed to those killed during the recent conflict and described them as a guiding force for the delegation's work. "I regard the innocent children of Minab and all the martyrs of our beloved Iran as constant witnesses to my actions and conduct," Qalibaf wrote. "They see us and have expectations of us." The delegation, which also includes foreign minister Abbas Araghchi, is expected to discuss how obligations contained in the agreement will be carried out. Ahead of the visit, foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei stressed that the trip should not be viewed as the start of a new round of negotiations, saying: "This trip is essentially aimed at demanding the fulfilment of the other party's commitments. Any understanding or agreement is ultimately tested during the implementation phase."

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Fastest World Cup to 100 goals in 68 years - are balls and breaks behind it?

The 2026 World Cup becomes the fastest edition of the tournament to hit 100 goals since 1958 - with the landmark reached in the 33rd game. But what is behind the scoring spree?

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

US refuses to ease Iran World Cup travel restrictions for Belgium match

Andrew Giuliani says Iran's players will not be allowed to stay longer for their group matches in the US.

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

US and Iranian teams prepare for detailed negotiations in Switzerland

US and Iranian teams prepare for detailed negotiations in Switzerland Iranian media have published images showing the country's delegation travelling to Switzerland for technical-level negotiations with the United States, marking the next stage in efforts to implement and expand the recently signed memorandum of understanding between the two countries. Ahead of the talks, US Vice President JD Vance said significant work remained to be done. followup He told reporters that Washington's priorities include addressing Iran's nuclear programme and strengthening the ceasefire in Lebanon amid concerns that renewed regional tensions could undermine the broader agreement. Other issues expected to be discussed include longstanding US sanctions on Iran and proposals aimed at supporting the reconstruction and development of Iran's economy as negotiations continue. Iran's delegation, named "Minab 168", led by Iranian Parliament Speaker and Chief Negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, has just arrived in Zurich, Switzerland. Follow Press TV on Telegram: https://t.co/h0eMpifVIe pic.twitter.com/VHOMLokGXG — PressTV Extra (@PresstvExtra) June 20, 2026

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Trump says only US could impose Hormuz transit charges

Trump says only US could impose Hormuz transit charges US President Donald Trump said there would be no tolls for vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz during the 60-day ceasefire period established under the memorandum of understanding with Iran. In a post on Truth Social on Saturday, Trump wrote: "There will be NO TOLLS in the Hormuz Strait for 60 days during the Cease Fire Period, and there will be NO TOLLS after the 60 day period has expired, unless they are imposed by and for the United States of America." Under the terms of the memorandum, the Strait of Hormuz is expected to reopen for an interim 60-day period after being closed during the conflict that began on 28 February. During that period, Iran is reportedly prohibited from charging vessels for passage through the strategic waterway.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Doku criticised over plan to return home for birth

Winger Jeremy Doku is criticised for saying he wants to leave Belgium's World Cup camp to be with his wife when she gives birth to their first child.

June 20, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

Israeli strike kills journalist in central Gaza

Israeli strike kills journalist in central Gaza An Israeli strike targeting a residential home in the Al-Bureij refugee camp in central Gaza killed Palestinian Al Jazeera Mubasher journalist and cameraman Ahmed Samir Wishah on Saturday. Al Jazeera said in a statement that it “strongly condemns the heinous crime of targeting and killing” of the correspondent. “This constitutes a new and flagrant violation of all international laws and norms, and reflects a continued systematic policy of targeting journalists and silencing the voice of truth,” the network said in a statement. The Israeli military confirmed carrying out the strike that killed the journalist, claiming he was a "Hamas terrorist", without providing any evidence. Read more: Israeli strike kills journalist in central Gaza Mohammed Samir Wishah during an assignment. (X / tamerqdh)

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Lamine Yamal a genius ‘like Dalí or Michelangelo’, says Spain’s De la Fuente

‘What we think is exceptional, they consider normal’ Coach says Lamine Yamal fit to start against Saudi Arabia Luis de la Fuente urged people not to compare Lamine Yamal to Lionel Messi, Diego Maradona or “anyone”, but did compare him to Salvador Dalí and Michelangelo – “geniuses” for whom the exceptional comes naturally. On the eve of their second World Cup game, against Saudi Arabia in Atlanta, it was put to the Spain coach that Lamine Yamal is confronted by a process similar to those faced by Lionel Messi and Diego Maradona but at the age of 18. His image is everywhere in the United States, a global figure already, and the buildup to the selección ’s participation at the tournament has been dominated by his availability after an injury he suffered in April – a teenager cast as their hope and salvation. Continue reading...

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Israeli strikes in Lebanon kill seven

Israeli strikes in Lebanon kill seven Lebanon's health ministry said late Saturday that fresh Israeli strikes in the south and east of the country had killed seven people. Five people, including a woman and child, were killed in the east of the country and two Palestinians were killed in the southern Tyre region, said the ministry. These latest strikes came before a pause noted by an AFP correspondent, when the Israeli army said it had received orders from the country's political leadership to halt attacks on southern Lebanon.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Undav scores twice as Germany fight back to beat Ivory Coast

Deniz Undav rescues Germany with his second-half double helping them to come from behind to defeat Ivory Coast and book their place in the knockout stages of the World Cup.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Undav injury-time goal sees Germany beat Ivory Coast to top World Cup group

Germany come from behind to beat Ivory Coast 2-1 in Group E, sealing FIFA World Cup 2026 knockout place.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

New museum brings Thai artist Tang Chang back into focus

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Ecuador v Curaçao: World Cup 2026 – live

⚽️ World Cup kick-off: 8pm EDT/1am BST/10am AEST ⚽️ Player guide | Bracketology | Golden Boot | Mail Alex Hello folks! Alexander Abnos here, and I’m thrilled to be able to follow this match along with all of you. Curaçao enters the game on the back of a 7-1 drubbing by Germany. The lopsided scoreline was perhaps expected, what with Germany’s status as a world power and Curaçao being the smallest country ever to qualify for a World Cup. Continue reading...

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Deniz Undav’s double earns Germany dramatic late win against Côte d’Ivoire

For the first time in more than a decade, Germany will play in the World Cup knockout stages. Their 2-1 victory at the death over Côte d’Ivoire in a lively tie here on Saturday saw to that. Franck Kessié’s 30th-minute goal for Les Éléphants was cancelled out by Deniz Undav’s 68th-minute equaliser and 94th-minute winner for Die Mannschaft. The victory put the four-time world champions on six points, although the youngest team at this tournament gave the Germans a far tougher test than in the 7-1 crunching of Curaçao six days ago. Continue reading...

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Report says UK PM Starmer ready to quit, but source says he is still focused on the job

⁠Britain’s Observer newspaper said ⁠UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer was expected to resign on Monday and set out a timetable for his departure, though a government source ‌said the leader remained focused on getting on with the job of governing. The threat to Starmer’s position, which has been building for months, increased sharply on Friday when his rival Andy Burnham won a ⁠seat in parliament that would allow him to launch a ‌formal leadership challenge. The Observer report said Starmer was...

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Germany reach World Cup knockout stage for first time since 2014

Germany defeated Ivory Coast 2-1

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 7

Country music fan Kane leaves Ella Langley gig early to make curfew

Harry Kane and Dan Burn were among the England players at a concert of US country music star Ella Langley, but had to leave early to make their curfew.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

World Cup 2026: Germany book knockout spot with comeback win over Ivory Coast

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Stabbing attacks in Edinburgh investigated as anti-Muslim hate crimes

Scottish man is arrested after rampage in capital leaves five injured

June 20, 2026

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